Buying with Exact Confidence

Exact Confidence Intervals

Exact maximum coverage probabilities of confidence intervals with increasing bounds for Poisson distribution mean

 ‎A Poisson distribution is well used as a standard model for analyzing count data‎. ‎So the Poisson distribution parameter estimation is widely applied in practice‎. ‎Providing accurate confidence intervals for the discrete distribution parameters is very difficult‎. ‎So far‎, ‎many asymptotic confidence intervals for the mean of Poisson distribution is provided‎. ‎It is known that the coverag...

Exact Convex Confidence-Weighted Learning

Confidence-weighted (CW) learning [6], an online learning method for linear clas-sifiers, maintains a Gaussian distributions over weight vectors, with a covariancematrix that represents uncertainty about weights and correlations. Confidenceconstraints ensure that a weight vector drawn from the hypothesis distributioncorrectly classifies examples with a specified probability. Wit...

Exact short Poisson confidence intervals

The authors propose a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the expectation θ of a Poisson random variable. The interval they obtain cannot be shortened without the infimum over θ of the coverage probability falling below 1 − α. In addition, the endpoints of the interval are strictly increasing functions of the observed variable. An easy-to-program algorithm is provided for comp...

Exact Soft Confidence-Weighted Learning

In this paper, we propose a new Soft Confidence-Weighted (SCW) online learning scheme, which enables the conventional confidence-weighted learning method to handle non-separable cases. Unlike the previous confidence-weighted learning algorithms, the proposed soft confidence-weighted learning method enjoys all the four salient properties: (i) large margin training, (ii) confidence weighting, (ii...